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The full investigation

Follow the money.

What motorists pay, what government collects, what energy companies report, how the numbers have changed since 1995, and what policy choices exist — with verified figures, clear sourcing, and evidence rather than assumptions.

How to read this page

Verified financial figureGovernment / official statisticEconomic analysisCampaign commentaryPublic opinion

Every claim below is labelled as one of these. We do not present campaign commentary or public opinion as if it were a verified figure.

The signature feature

Follow the £50

Enter an amount, then watch it move through the system — tax, industry, and retail.

A Shell petrol station forecourt in Heddon-on-the-Wall, Northumberland, England, showing the price totem and fuel pumps under the canopy.

£50

A typical fuel purchase

Where does it go?

Photo: Graham Robson, via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 2.0)

Compare year:
Known — directly published rate Estimated — calculated or averaged
Wholesale fuel, refining & distribution · Oil & energy industry Estimated£22.55
Fuel duty · Government Known£15.75
VAT (20%) · Government Known£8.35
Retailer / forecourt margin · Retail Estimated£3.35

Based on a petrol price of 168.1p/litre in 2026. The exact split varies with the fuel price, wholesale costs, retailer margins, and VAT at any given time — this is not a fixed formula.

How much are companies making?

Billions — But From What?

Verified annual financial results for five major energy companies, with each accounting measure clearly labelled.

Shell plc

FY2025

LATEST AVAILABLEGlobal figures
Revenue
£204,996m
Income attributable to Shell plc shareholders
£13,359m
Adjusted Earnings (non-GAAP)
£13,876m
Prior year
£12,053m
Year-on-year change
+10.8%

Operates across: Oil production, Natural gas, LNG, Refining, Chemicals, Trading, Retail, Renewables & energy solutions.

BP plc

FY2025

LATEST AVAILABLEGlobal figures
Revenue
£144,199m
Profit for the year attributable to bp shareholders
£41m
Underlying replacement cost (RC) profit (non-GAAP)
£5,605m
Prior year
£285m
Year-on-year change
-85.6%

Operates across: Oil production, Natural gas, Refining, Trading & shipping, Retail (fuel & convenience), Low carbon energy.

ExxonMobil

FY2025

LATEST AVAILABLEGlobal figures
Revenue
£248,812m
Net income attributable to ExxonMobil
£21,601m
Earnings excluding identified items (non-GAAP)
£22,548m
Prior year
£25,223m
Year-on-year change
-14.3%

Operates across: Upstream (oil & gas production), Product Solutions (refining, chemicals, fuels), Low Carbon Solutions.

TotalEnergies

FY2025

LATEST AVAILABLEGlobal figures
Revenue
£136,557m
Net income (TotalEnergies share, IFRS)
£9,831m
Adjusted net income (TotalEnergies share, non-GAAP)
£11,673m
Prior year
£11,801m
Year-on-year change
-17.0%

Operates across: Exploration & production, Integrated LNG, Refining & chemicals, Marketing & services, Integrated power (renewables & electricity).

Chevron

FY2025

LATEST AVAILABLEGlobal figures
Revenue
£141,564m
Net income attributable to Chevron Corporation
£9,211m
Adjusted earnings (non-GAAP)
£10,126m
Prior year
£13,226m
Year-on-year change
-30.4%

Operates across: Upstream (oil & gas production), Downstream (refining, marketing, retail), Chemicals, New energies.

Every figure above is verified and sourced.

Each card cites the company's own SEC filing or press release directly. Any company or year we cannot verify shows "Not yet verified" rather than a guessed number.
Economic analysis

All five companies report in US dollars. Figures above are converted to pounds sterling at £1 = $1.3353 (Bank of England, spot rate, 17 September 2026) — a single current exchange rate applied to each company's most recent full-year results, so these are approximate GBP equivalents rather than a rate fixed by the companies themselves.

Economic analysis

Corporate profit is not the same as UK forecourt profit

These companies report global, group-wide results across oil production, natural gas, LNG, refining, chemicals, trading, retail, and renewable energy businesses — most of which has nothing to do with what a UK driver pays at a specific forecourt. A large global profit figure does not tell you how much profit was made on a single litre of fuel sold in England, and should not be read as if it does.

The question this data can't answer

How much of that is UK petrol?

None of these companies separately publish how much profit they make specifically from selling petrol and diesel at UK forecourts. Fuel retail is a small part of a much larger global business, often reported (if at all) only as part of a combined "marketing" or "retail" segment covering many countries and products.

DATA NOT AVAILABLE

We do not estimate or invent this figure. If a company publishes a genuine UK-specific fuel-retail profit figure in the future, we will add it here with a direct source.

Making big numbers make sense

What does a billion pounds actually look like?

£billion

In full

£0

As billions

£0 billion

As millions

0 million

A billion is a thousand million — one thousand times larger than a million. Company profit and government receipt figures on this page are usually reported in millions; we show them here at scale so the size of the number is easier to grasp.

Explore the trends

Corporate Profits vs Fuel Prices

An interactive comparison — not proof of cause and effect.

Corporate Profits vs Fuel Prices

Historical data

Choose a company, then select which trends to compare on the same indexed chart. Different measures (pence per litre, pounds, percentages) are shown as an index relative to their starting value so trends can be compared side by side.

240018001200600020042007201020132016201920222025
UK average petrol price (pence/litre, indexed)Shell plc net income (£m, indexed)

Each line is indexed to its own starting value = 100, so series in different units (e.g. pence/litre vs US$/barrel) can be compared by % change rather than raw size.

Correlation does not necessarily mean that one factor caused another.

These figures show how two measurements changed over time. They do not, by themselves, prove that one caused the other — fuel prices are influenced by crude oil prices, refining costs, wholesale markets, taxes, exchange rates, distribution costs, competition and other factors.

Where does your money go?

Where does the money from a litre of fuel go?

A verified breakdown of an average litre's pump price, with the date, source, and methodology for every figure.

Petrol (unleaded)

Live data
  • Wholesale fuel, refining & distribution75.8p (45.1%)
  • Fuel duty53.0p (31.5%)
  • VAT (20%)28.0p (16.7%)
  • Retailer / forecourt margin11.3p (6.7%)

As of 14 September 2026. Source: GOV.UK (fuel duty, VAT) and CMA Enhanced Road Fuel Monitoring report (retailer margin), via GOV.UK

Methodology: Fuel duty (52.95 pence/litre) and the 20% VAT rate are exact, verified figures from GOV.UK, calculated against an average pump price of 168.1p/litre (GOV.UK/DESNZ weekly road fuel prices, week commencing 14 September 2026). The retailer margin (11.3 pence/litre) is the CMA's reported average market-wide petrol margin for April 2026 (Enhanced Road Fuel Monitoring report, published via GOV.UK). 'Wholesale, refining & distribution' is the remainder after duty, VAT, and margin are subtracted — it is a calculated figure, not a separately published one, and bundles crude oil cost, refining, and distribution together since no further verified split was available. Because the margin figure and the pump price are from slightly different dates, this breakdown is an approximation, not an exact same-day figure.

The site's signature interactive feature

Follow The Money: 1995 → Today

Move the slider to see how fuel prices, tax, wages and inflation have changed.

2026

Historical data
19952000200520102015202020212022202420252026

Petrol

168.14p/litre

Diesel

190.72p/litre

Fuel Duty

52.95p/litre

VAT

20%

Minimum Wage

£12.71/hour

Average Earnings

Not yet verified

Bank Rate

3.75%

CPI index

Not yet verified

Source: GOV.UK / DESNZ — Weekly road fuel prices / GOV.UK / Bank of England (see individual figures)view source

How much of your working hour buys fuel?

Your Wage vs The Pump

Minimum hourly wage ÷ fuel price, using each rate's actual effective date.

Petrol

7.6L

At 2026's minimum wage (£12.71/hour), one hour of work bought approximately this many litres of petrol.

Diesel

6.7L

The same calculation for diesel.

Source: GOV.UK / DESNZ — Weekly road fuel prices / GOV.UK / Bank of England (see individual figures)view source

A historical comparison

What Did £20 Buy?

£20spent in 2026

Petrol litres

11.9litres

Diesel litres

10.5litres

Minimum-wage hours required

1.6hours

Average earnings context

Not yet verified for this year

"Equivalent modern purchasing power" (inflation-adjusted) will be added once a verified CPI index level for 2026 is connected — we don't estimate this figure in the meantime.

An honest question

Are Energy Companies Making Excessive Profits?

We don't answer yes or no. Here's what 'excessive profit', 'profiteering' and 'windfall profits' actually mean, and the evidence available.

These words don't all mean the same thing

Excessive profit
No single legal or economic definition — often used loosely to mean profit that seems disproportionate to risk, investment, or market conditions.
Profiteering
Generally implies deliberately exploiting a crisis or shortage to charge more than is fair — a stronger claim that typically requires specific evidence of conduct, not just a profit figure.
Windfall profit
An unexpected profit arising from external circumstances (e.g. a price spike) rather than a company's own decisions — the basis some governments have used for one-off windfall taxes.

The evidence, honestly labelled

  • Global profit & revenueLive data
  • Margins (where available)Data unavailable
  • Taxes paidData unavailable
  • DividendsData unavailable
  • Share buybacksData unavailable
  • InvestmentData unavailable
  • ProductionData unavailable
  • UK-specific informationData unavailable

Where a figure isn't yet verified, we don't estimate it — we show that gap honestly so you know what evidence is and isn't behind a conclusion.

The limits of comparing global companies to UK prices

Shell, BP, ExxonMobil, Chevron and TotalEnergies are global businesses whose profit reflects production, refining, trading and retail activity worldwide — not specifically what happens at a UK forecourt. A high global profit figure is not, by itself, evidence about UK pump pricing specifically; UK-specific evidence (like CMA retail margin monitoring) is a separate, narrower data source better suited to that question.

No. A large global profit figure, on its own, does not prove that a company has broken competition law or acted unfairly. Establishing unfair pricing or anti-competitive behaviour requires specific regulatory investigation and evidence — it is not something that can be concluded from a headline profit number alone.

Relevant investigations and regulatory findings

The Competition and Markets Authority has carried out monitoring and studies of the UK road fuel market, including retailer margins and regional pricing. We link to the regulator directly rather than summarising specific findings we haven't independently verified.

Search CMA road fuel market findings

We deliberately don't draw a conclusion for you here — read the evidence and decide for yourself.

A large dashboard

What Does Government Collect?

Fuel Duty — full financial year

£24.25bn

Financial year 2025 to 2026 (provisional) · as of 31 July 2026

Fuel Duty — year to date

£8.4bn

April to July 2026 · as of 21 August 2026

Fuel Duty — latest quarter

£6.37bn

April to June 2026 (provisional) · petrol £2.58bn, diesel £3.72bn

VAT on fuel

Not separately published

HMRC does not publish a fuel-specific VAT receipts figure

Total fuel-related tax

Not calculated

Only shown once components are genuinely comparable — see note below

Where an amount is estimated rather than directly reported, it is labelled as an estimate.

Figures shown here are based on published government statistics. HMRC publishes Fuel Duty receipts directly, but does not separately break out how much VAT revenue comes specifically from fuel purchases (VAT is reported by sector/return type, not by product). We do not fabricate a fuel-specific VAT total, and we do not add Fuel Duty to an unverified VAT estimate to produce a combined "total fuel tax" figure.

The full-year and year-to-date Fuel Duty figures come from two different HMRC publications with different cut-off dates — they are not directly comparable to each other and are shown separately for that reason.

What we are asking for

Our Public Policy Demands

Freezing Fuel Duty, reviewing fuel taxation, investigating excessive profits, and more — with clear explainers on what government can and can't do quickly.

See Our Demands

Are wages keeping up?

Are Wages Keeping Up?

How wages, inflation, and the minimum wage compare over time.

National Minimum Wage / National Living Wage

Rates changed from 1 April 2026, shown alongside the previous rates effective from 1 April 2025.

Live data
BandFrom 1 April 2026From 1 April 2025
21 and over (National Living Wage)£12.71£12.21
18 to 20£10.85£10.00
Under 18£8.00£7.55
Apprentice£8.00£7.55

Source: GOV.UK — National Minimum Wage and National Living Wage rates

The minimum wage has increased substantially over time — it has not stood still. The more meaningful question is not whether it has risen, but whether those increases have kept pace with the overall cost of living workers actually face, including housing, energy, food, and transport costs. See Are Wages Keeping Up? below.

Minimum wage vs median earnings

How the wage floor compares to typical pay over time.

Historical data
8436324222110202420252026
National Living Wage (21+ rate) (£/hour)Median full-time weekly earnings (£/week)
National Living Wage (21+ rate)
Nominal (not inflation-adjusted) · Source: GOV.UK — National Minimum Wage and National Living Wage rates (as of 1 April 2026)
Median full-time weekly earnings
Nominal (not inflation-adjusted) · Source: ONS — Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE), Employee earnings in the UK: 2025 (as of 1 April 2025)

Inflation (CPI) over time

Annual UK Consumer Prices Index inflation rate.

Historical data
129630Aug 2025Aug 2026Dec 2021Oct 2022
CPI inflation rate (% per year)
CPI inflation rate
Nominal (not inflation-adjusted) · Source: ONS — Consumer price inflation, UK (monthly bulletins) (as of 16 September 2026)

Fuel prices over time

Average petrol price, for context alongside wages and inflation.

Historical data
2111581055302003-062006-052009-042012-032015-022018-012020-122023-11
UK average petrol price (pence/litre)
UK average petrol price
Nominal (not inflation-adjusted) · Source: GOV.UK / DESNZ — Weekly road fuel prices (as of 14 September 2026)

Bank Rate over time

Bank of England Bank Rate, which affects mortgage and borrowing costs.

Historical data
6.34.73.21.60.0Aug 2016Aug 2022Aug 2024Dec 2021Dec 2025Mar 2009Nov 2017
Bank of England Bank Rate (% per year)
Bank of England Bank Rate
Nominal (not inflation-adjusted) · Source: Bank of England — Official Bank Rate history database (as of 18 December 2025)

What do we mean by this?

The Wage Gap

'Wage gap' can mean several different things. Choose a specific comparison below rather than one ambiguous measure.

Choose a comparison:

Minimum wage vs median wage

Compares the statutory minimum hourly rate to the median hourly wage across all employees. This shows how far the wage floor sits below typical pay — it does not measure how many people are paid the minimum, or how pay is distributed above it.

Minimum wage vs median wage

Data unavailable

This chart will appear once verified historical data is connected.

We do not display estimated or fabricated historical figures.

Borrowing, saving, and inflation

Interest Rates & The Cost of Living

Bank Rate

The interest rate set by the Bank of England, which influences most other interest rates in the UK economy.

Mortgage costs

Many mortgages track or are influenced by Bank Rate, so changes can directly affect monthly mortgage payments, particularly for tracker and new fixed-rate deals.

Borrowing costs

Loans, credit cards, and other borrowing tend to become more expensive when Bank Rate rises, and cheaper when it falls.

Credit costs

The cost of using credit — including overdrafts and store finance — is influenced by the wider interest rate environment.

Savings rates

Higher Bank Rate can mean better returns on savings accounts, though banks don't always pass on the full change immediately.

Business borrowing

Businesses financing stock, equipment, or expansion face higher or lower borrowing costs as rates move, which can feed into prices they charge.

Higher interest rates cut both ways.

Higher interest rates can increase costs for borrowers — including mortgage holders and businesses — even as they can benefit savers through better returns. The relationship between interest rates and inflation is a tool used by the Bank of England to try to keep inflation near its target; we do not make political claims about why any particular rate decision was made.

Bank of England Bank Rate over time

Historical Bank Rate, sourced from the Bank of England.

Historical data
6.34.73.21.60.0Aug 2016Aug 2022Aug 2024Dec 2021Dec 2025Mar 2009Nov 2017
Bank of England Bank Rate (% per year)
Bank of England Bank Rate
Nominal (not inflation-adjusted) · Source: Bank of England — Official Bank Rate history database (as of 18 December 2025)

How it all connects

What Does It Mean For Ordinary People?

Fuel prices
Commuting & transport costs
Household disposable income
Food & everyday spending
Housing / mortgage costs
Interest rates
Business costs
Prices paid by consumers

These relationships are complex, run in more than one direction, and interact with many other factors beyond fuel prices. We present the evidence and the connections between these costs rather than claiming any single cause explains everything.

The full picture, not just the highlights

Corporate Profits Timeline

Shell and BP's annual results since 2015 — including the weaker years, not just the strongest ones.

Shell

Historical data
YearNet incomeRevenueContext
FY2015£1,452m£198,427mGlobal oil price crash: OPEC did not cut production amid a US shale oversupply, and prices fell sharply through the year.
FY2016£3,426m£174,935mOil prices remained depressed for most of the year before OPEC agreed output cuts in November 2016.
FY2017£9,718m£228,547mGradual price recovery as OPEC+ production cuts took hold.
FY2018£17,488m£290,855mPrices strengthened through most of the year before a sharp Q4 2018 sell-off.
FY2019£11,864m£258,277mRelatively stable prices; weaker refining and trading conditions than 2018.
FY2020-£16,236m£135,208mCOVID-19 demand collapse. Oil prices fell sharply, and Shell recorded a net loss with large impairments.
FY2021£15,054m£195,839mDemand and prices recovered as COVID-19 restrictions eased through the year.
FY2022£31,685m£285,564mRussia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 drove a sharp rise in global energy prices; Shell's highest annual profit in this timeline.
FY2023£14,499m£237,115mPrices normalised down from the 2022 peak.
FY2024£12,053m£212,920mContinued softening of oil and gas prices through the year.
FY2025£13,359m£199,870mShell's own reporting shows average Brent crude prices falling further year-on-year.

BP

Historical data
YearNet incomeRevenueContext
FY2015-£4,854m£169,268mGlobal oil price crash weighed heavily on BP's results.
FY2016£86m£139,748mOil prices remained near the bottom of the downturn for most of the year.
FY2017£2,538m£183,166mGradual recovery as OPEC+ cuts took hold.
FY2018£7,027m£227,468mStronger prices through most of the year.
FY2019£3,015m£211,650mRelatively stable prices.
FY2020-£15,206m£137,422mCOVID-19 demand collapse; BP recorded a large net loss with significant impairments.
FY2021£5,665m£122,965mDemand and prices recovered through the year.
FY2022-£1,863m£186,393mStatutory loss driven by a ~£18bn charge for exiting BP's stake in Rosneft following Russia's invasion of Ukraine — even though underlying replacement cost profit was a record £20,712m the same year.
FY2023£11,412m£159,539mPrices normalised down from the 2022 peak.
FY2024£285m£145,757mWeaker refining margins and lower prices reduced statutory profit close to zero.
FY2025£41m£144,199mStatutory profit remained close to zero despite underlying replacement cost profit of £5,606m, again showing the gap between the two measures.
Economic analysis

Shell and BP report in US dollars. Figures above are converted to pounds sterling at £1 = $1.3353 (Bank of England, spot rate, 17 September 2026) for every year shown — a single fixed rate, not the historical rate for each year — so these are approximate, present-day GBP equivalents rather than what the amount was worth in pounds at the time.

People have every right to ask questions when they see the price of fuel, the cost of living, and corporate profits changing at the same time.

We believe those questions should be answered with evidence, transparency, and publicly available data.

  • How much are companies making?
  • How much of the price at the pump is tax?
  • How much goes to wholesale and refining costs?
  • How much does the forecourt actually retain?
  • And how are wages and household incomes changing at the same time?

Fuel Crisis England exists to help people investigate those questions for themselves.

Ask questions. Follow the money. Check the evidence. Make your voice heard.

This page gives you the data, sources, and explanations to understand the situation yourself — it does not tell you what conclusion to reach.